Single poll
Civey poll of 20 December 2019 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 22 Nov 2019 to 20 Dec 2019
- Respondents
- 2,041
- Method
- Online
- SPD30.4%
- Grüne24.1%
- Linke13.7%
- CDU13.6%
- AfD7.5%
- FDP7.4%
- Others3.3%
30.4%
SPD
24.1%
Grüne
13.7%
Linke
13.6%
CDU
7.5%
AfD
7.4%
FDP
3.3%
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 30.4%, followed by Grüne on 24.1%. 2,041 people were surveyed from 22 Nov 2019 to 20 Dec 2019, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has SPD 2.1 points higher and CDU 2.1 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Dec 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.1average 28.3
- CDU -2.1average 15.7
- Linke +2.0average 11.7
- Grüne -0.9average 25.0
- FDP +0.4average 7.0
- AfD -0.2average 7.7
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD38
- Grüne31
- Linke17
- CDU17
- FDP9
- AfD9
- SPD + Grüne69 of 121
- SPD + Linke + CDU72 of 121
- Grüne + Linke + CDU65 of 121
- SPD + Linke + FDP64 of 121
- SPD + Linke + AfD64 of 121
- SPD + CDU + FDP64 of 121
- SPD + CDU + AfD64 of 121
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.