Civey poll of 26 October 2022 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- DIE ZEIT
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Sep 2022 to 24 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,705
- Method
- Online
- Grüne30.0%+5.5
- SPD29.0%-6.4
- CDU20.0%+6.2
- Linke5.0%-3.6
- AfD5.0%-2.9
- FDP4.0%-1.2
- Others7.0%+2.4
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 19 Feb 2020.
In this poll Civey has Grüne ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 29.0%. 1,705 people were surveyed from 26 Sep 2022 to 24 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by DIE ZEIT.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 19 Feb 2020, SPD loses 6.4 points, CDU gains 6.2 points, Grüne gains 5.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU 5.0 points higher and Grüne 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +5.0average 15.0
- Grüne +3.0average 27.0
- SPD -3.0average 32.0
- Linke -3.0average 8.0
- AfD -2.0average 7.0
- FDP -2.0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne41
- SPD39
- CDU27
- Linke7
- AfD7
- Grüne + SPD80 of 121
- Grüne + CDU68 of 121
- SPD + CDU66 of 121
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.