Civey poll of 19 February 2020 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 19 Feb 2020
- Respondents
- 3,468
- Method
- Online
- SPD35.4%+5.2
- Grüne24.5%-0.4
- CDU13.8%-1.9
- Linke8.6%±0
- AfD7.9%+1.0
- FDP5.2%-2.0
- Others4.6%-1.9
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 21 Jan 2020.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 35.4%, followed by Grüne on 24.5%. 3,468 people were surveyed from 5 to 19 Feb 2020, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 21 Jan 2020, SPD gains 5.2 points, FDP loses 2.0 points, CDU loses 1.9 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.1average 6.8
- FDP -0.5average 5.7
- SPD +0.4average 35.0
- Grüne +0.3average 24.2
- CDU -0.2average 14.0
- Linke -0.2average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD45
- Grüne31
- CDU17
- Linke11
- AfD10
- FDP7
- SPD + Grüne76 of 121
- SPD + CDU62 of 121
- SPD + Linke + AfD66 of 121
- SPD + Linke + FDP63 of 121
- SPD + AfD + FDP62 of 121
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.