Civey poll of 6 October 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Sep 2022 to 6 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 3,001
- Method
- Online
- SPD33.0%+2.0
- CDU27.0%-2.0
- Grüne17.0%-2.0
- AfD10.0%+3.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Sep 2022.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 3,001 people were surveyed from 29 Sep 2022 to 6 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Sep 2022, AfD gains 3.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -1.0average 28.0
- Linke +0.8average 3.2
- SPD +0.6average 32.4
- Grüne +0.5average 16.5
- FDP +0.1average 4.9
- AfD ±0average 10.0
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD48
- CDU40
- Grüne25
- AfD15
- FDP7
- SPD + CDU88 of 135
- SPD + Grüne73 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD80 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + FDP72 of 135
- SPD + AfD + FDP70 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.