Single poll

Civey poll of 13 September 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
6 to 13 Sep 2022
Respondents
3,003
Method
Online
  • SPD31.0%-3.6
  • CDU29.0%-2.8
  • Grüne19.0%+10.5
  • AfD7.0%-0.8
  • FDP6.0%-2.9
  • Linke4.0%-1.7
  • Others4.0%+1.3

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Oct 2017.

In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 31.0%, followed by CDU on 29.0%. 3,003 people were surveyed from 6 to 13 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Oct 2017, Grüne gains 10.5 points, SPD loses 3.6 points, FDP loses 2.9 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU 2.2 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +2.2average 26.8
  • AfD -0.6average 7.6
  • Linke +0.5average 3.5
  • SPD -0.4average 31.4
  • Grüne -0.3average 19.3
  • FDP -0.3average 6.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 45 seatsCDU: 43 seatsGrüne: 28 seatsAfD: 10 seatsFDP: 9 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • SPD45
  • CDU43
  • Grüne28
  • AfD10
  • FDP9
  • SPD + CDU88 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne73 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne71 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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