Civey poll of 13 October 2017 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- Spiegel Online / Hannoversche Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 25 Sep 2017 to 13 Oct 2017
- Respondents
- 5,073
- Method
- Unbekannt
- SPD34.6%+1.8
- CDU31.8%-1.3
- FDP8.9%+0.9
- Grüne8.5%-1.4
- AfD7.8%-0.3
- Linke5.7%+0.3
- Others2.7%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 2 Oct 2017.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 34.6%, followed by CDU on 31.8%. 5,073 people were surveyed from 25 Sep 2017 to 13 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Spiegel Online / Hannoversche Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 2 Oct 2017, SPD gains 1.8 points, Grüne loses 1.4 points, CDU loses 1.3 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU 2.7 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.7average 34.5
- SPD +1.5average 33.1
- Linke +1.1average 4.6
- Grüne -0.4average 8.9
- AfD +0.3average 7.5
- FDP +0.1average 8.8
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD48
- CDU44
- FDP12
- Grüne12
- AfD11
- Linke8
- SPD + CDU92 of 135
- SPD + FDP + Grüne72 of 135
- SPD + FDP + AfD71 of 135
- SPD + Grüne + AfD71 of 135
- SPD + FDP + Linke68 of 135
- SPD + Grüne + Linke68 of 135
- CDU + FDP + Grüne68 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.