Single poll

Civey poll of 2 October 2017 for the Lower Saxony state election

Commissioned by
Spiegel Online / Hannoversche Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
24 Sep 2017 to 1 Oct 2017
Respondents
4,570
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU33.1%
  • SPD32.8%
  • Grüne9.9%
  • AfD8.1%
  • FDP8.0%
  • Linke5.4%
  • Others2.7%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Civey has CDU ahead on 33.1%, followed by SPD on 32.8%. 4,570 people were surveyed from 24 Sep 2017 to 1 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Spiegel Online / Hannoversche Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU 4.9 points lower and SPD 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -4.9average 38.0
  • SPD +1.8average 31.0
  • Grüne +1.2average 8.7
  • AfD +1.1average 7.0
  • Linke +0.7average 4.7
  • FDP -0.3average 8.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 46 seatsCDU: 46 seatsGrüne: 14 seatsFDP: 11 seatsAfD: 11 seatsLinke: 7 seatsMajority from 68135of 135 seats
  • SPD46
  • CDU46
  • Grüne14
  • FDP11
  • AfD11
  • Linke7
  • SPD + CDU92 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP71 of 135
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD71 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP71 of 135
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD71 of 135
  • SPD + FDP + AfD68 of 135
  • CDU + FDP + AfD68 of 135
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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