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Pollster and election

INSA on the federal election

785 polls since 24 January 2017, the latest from 22 September 2026 for BILD. Against the current average of all pollsters, INSA has AfD +1.6 and Grüne -1.3. House effect since 22 Sep 2025: AfD +1.1, CDU/CSU -0.8, Grüne -0.8.

  • AfD29.5%+0.5
  • CDU/CSU19.5%-0.5
  • SPD13.5%+0.5
  • Grüne13.5%-0.5
  • Linke10.5%-0.5
  • FDP4.5%-0.5
  • BSW3.5%+0.5
  • Others5.5%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the INSA poll of 20 Sep 2026.

This poll in detail

Trend

All INSA figures for the federal election

010203040Oct 24Dec 24Feb 25Apr 25Jun 25Aug 25Oct 25Dec 25Feb 26Apr 26Jun 26Aug 26AfDCDU/CSUSPDGrüneLinkeFDPBSW
Dots are individual polls, lines the rolling average over 45 days. Period 23 Sep 2024 to 22 Sep 2026. Tap the tiles to hide parties.
Accuracy

INSA before the last elections

Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.

  • Election 23 Feb 2025 (poll 22 Feb 2025)0.7 ptsbiggest miss SPD -1.4
  • Election 26 Sep 2021 (poll 20 Sep 2021)1.0 ptsbiggest miss CDU/CSU -2.1
  • Election 24 Sep 2017 (poll 22 Sep 2017)1.1 ptsbiggest miss Linke +1.8
Archive

All 785 polls

INSA polls for the federal election
PollsterPublishedAfDCDU/CSUSPDGrüneLinkeFDPBSWOthers
INSA22 Sep 202629.519.513.513.510.54.53.55.5
INSA20 Sep 20262920131411535
INSA15 Sep 20262919.512.51410.54.53.56.5
INSA12 Sep 20262920131410437
INSA8 Sep 20262919.512.513.510.54.546.5
INSA5 Sep 20262820131310448
INSA1 Sep 20262920.51213.510.54.53.56.5
INSA29 Aug 20262920121310448
INSA25 Aug 20262920.51213.5114.536.5
INSA23 Aug 20262921121311536
INSA18 Aug 202628.520.5121312536
INSA15 Aug 20262820121312537
INSA11 Aug 202628.520.512.51311.54.536.5
INSA8 Aug 20262821121311537
INSA4 Aug 202628211213.511545.5
INSA2 Aug 20262821121411545
INSA28 Jul 2026282112.513.511446
INSA25 Jul 20262821121411446
INSA21 Jul 20262920.5131310.54.53.56
INSA18 Jul 20262921131310437
INSA14 Jul 202628.521.512.51310.5446
INSA11 Jul 20262822121211447
INSA7 Jul 2026292212.51310.5445
INSA4 Jul 20262921131310446
INSA30 Jun 20262922121310.543.56
INSA27 Jun 20262922121310437
INSA23 Jun 20262921.512.51310.543.56
INSA20 Jun 20262922131310337
INSA16 Jun 202629221214.510.53.53.55
INSA13 Jun 20262922131410336
INSA9 Jun 202629211214.510.53.53.56
INSA6 Jun 20262921121411337
INSA2 Jun 202629221213.510.53.53.56
INSA30 May 20262922121411336
INSA26 May 20262922121410.5435.5
INSA23 May 20262922121411435
INSA19 May 2026292212.51410.53.53.55
INSA16 May 20262922121410337
INSA12 May 202628231312.5113.53.55.5
INSA9 May 20262823131311336
INSA5 May 202627.52413.51310.543.54
INSA2 May 20262824141311334
INSA28 Apr 20262823.51412.5113.53.54
INSA25 Apr 20262824141211335
INSA21 Apr 202626.5241412.5113.53.55
INSA18 Apr 20262724141311335
INSA14 Apr 202626251412.5103.53.55.5
INSA11 Apr 20262625141310345
INSA8 Apr 20262625131210.53.546
INSA4 Apr 20262625131211346
INSA31 Mar 2026262614.51210.533.54.5
INSA28 Mar 20262626141211335
INSA24 Mar 2026262615121033.54.5
INSA21 Mar 20262526151211335
INSA17 Mar 20262625.5151210.533.54.5
INSA14 Mar 20262525151211336
INSA10 Mar 202624.52615.511.510.53.53.55
INSA7 Mar 20262526151111435
INSA3 Mar 20262525.51611.51033.55.5
INSA28 Feb 20262526161110336

The 60 most recent; older ones via the Chronicle.

Other elections covered by this pollster

Election tickerNext electionSaarland207 daysLatest pollForsa, North Rhine-Westphalia23 Sep 2026CDU 29AfD 22Grüne 18Biggest moveSPD, Rhineland-Palatinate▼ −8,3Leading nationallyAfDfor 159 daysRun-offsLower Saxony local elections4 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%, preliminary

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