Pollster and election
INSA on the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
12 polls since 10 January 2018, the latest from 18 March 2026 for BILD. Against the current average of all pollsters, INSA has SPD +8.0 and AfD -4.0. House effect since 20 Aug 2024: AfD +3.8, CDU -2.2, SPD -1.6.
- CDU28.0%+1.0
- SPD27.0%+5.0
- AfD20.0%-3.0
- Grüne9.0%±0
- Linke5.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler5.0%+2.0
- Others6.0%+4.0
28.0%
+1.0
CDU
27.0%
+5.0
SPD
20.0%
-3.0
AfD
9.0%
±0
Grüne
5.0%
-1.0
Linke
5.0%
+2.0
Freie Wähler
6.0%
+4.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the INSA poll of 4 Oct 2025.
Trend
All INSA figures for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
Accuracy
INSA before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 22 Mar 2026 (poll 18 Mar 2026)1.2 ptsbiggest miss CDU -3.0
- Election 14 Mar 2021 (poll 12 Mar 2021)1.5 ptsbiggest miss SPD -3.7
Archive
All 12 polls
| Pollster | Published | CDU | SPD | AfD | Grüne | Linke | Freie Wähler | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 18 Mar 2026 | 28 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| INSA | 4 Oct 2025 | 27 | 22 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| INSA | 2 Apr 2025 | 28 | 21 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 4 |
| INSA | 23 May 2023 | 27 | 28 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| INSA | 25 Nov 2022 | 28 | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| INSA | 12 Mar 2021 | 29 | 32 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| INSA | 9 Mar 2021 | 30 | 30 | 10 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| INSA | 23 Feb 2021 | 33 | 31 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| INSA | 23 Jan 2021 | 33 | 30 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| INSA | 21 Oct 2020 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| INSA | 18 Sep 2019 | 28 | 22 | 12 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| INSA | 10 Jan 2018 | 34 | 33 | 10 | 7 | 5 | – | 4 |