Single poll
INSA poll of 18 March 2026 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 17 Mar 2026
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU28.0%+1.0
- SPD27.0%+5.0
- AfD20.0%-3.0
- Grüne9.0%±0
- Linke5.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler5.0%+2.0
- Others6.0%+4.0
28.0%
+1.0
CDU
27.0%
+5.0
SPD
20.0%
-3.0
AfD
9.0%
±0
Grüne
5.0%
-1.0
Linke
5.0%
+2.0
Freie Wähler
6.0%
+4.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Oct 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 10 to 17 Mar 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Oct 2025, SPD gains 5.0 points, AfD loses 3.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 2.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Mar 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.0average 19.0
- CDU -0.5average 28.5
- Grüne +0.5average 8.5
- Freie Wähler +0.2average 4.8
- SPD ±0average 27.0
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU30
- SPD29
- AfD22
- Grüne10
- Linke5
- Freie Wähler5
- CDU + SPD59 of 101
- CDU + AfD52 of 101
- SPD + AfD51 of 101
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.