Single poll
INSA poll of 4 October 2025 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
- State
- Rhineland-Palatinate
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 23 Sep 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 16 to 23 Sep 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Apr 2025, AfD gains 4.0 points, Linke loses 3.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 5.5 points higher and CDU 2.0 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Oct 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +5.5average 17.5
- CDU -2.0average 29.0
- SPD -1.8average 23.8
- Grüne -1.8average 10.8
- FDP +1.5average 2.5
- BSW +1.0average 3.0
- Freie Wähler -1.0average 4.0
- Linke +0.7average 5.3
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU31
- AfD27
- SPD26
- Grüne10
- Linke7
- CDU + AfD58 of 101
- CDU + SPD57 of 101
- AfD + SPD53 of 101
More
More polls
← INSA, 2 Apr 2025INSA, 18 Mar 2026 →Average of all pollsters: Rhineland-PalatinateSunday question Rhineland-Palatinate2025 federal election in Rhineland-PalatinateChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.