Single poll

INSA poll of 2 April 2025 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
25 Mar 2025 to 1 Apr 2025
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • CDU28.0%+1.0
  • SPD21.0%-7.0
  • AfD19.0%+5.0
  • Grüne9.0%-2.0
  • Linke9.0%+7.0
  • BSW5.0%
  • Freie Wähler3.0%-2.0
  • FDP2.0%-4.0
  • Others4.0%-3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 May 2023.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 25 Mar 2025 to 1 Apr 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 May 2023, SPD loses 7.0 points, Linke gains 7.0 points, AfD gains 5.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 5.0 points higher and CDU 4.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +5.0average 14.0
  • CDU -4.0average 32.0
  • SPD -3.0average 24.0
  • Grüne -2.0average 11.0
  • FDP -2.0average 4.0
  • BSW +1.0average 4.0
  • Freie Wähler -1.0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 31 seatsSPD: 23 seatsAfD: 21 seatsGrüne: 10 seatsLinke: 10 seatsBSW: 6 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • CDU31
  • SPD23
  • AfD21
  • Grüne10
  • Linke10
  • BSW6
  • CDU + SPD54 of 101
  • CDU + AfD52 of 101
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne54 of 101
  • SPD + AfD + Linke54 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke51 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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