INSA poll of 23 May 2023 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 15 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- SPD28.0%±0
- CDU27.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%-2.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler5.0%±0
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Nov 2022.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU on 27.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 8 to 15 May 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Nov 2022, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.5average 12.5
- FDP +1.0average 5.0
- Freie Wähler -0.8average 5.8
- SPD -0.5average 28.5
- CDU ±0average 27.0
- AfD ±0average 14.0
- Linke ±0average 2.0
Seat projection from this poll
101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD31
- CDU30
- AfD15
- Grüne12
- FDP7
- Freie Wähler6
- SPD + CDU61 of 101
- SPD + AfD + Grüne58 of 101
- CDU + AfD + Grüne57 of 101
- SPD + AfD + FDP53 of 101
- SPD + AfD + Freie Wähler52 of 101
- CDU + AfD + FDP52 of 101
- CDU + AfD + Freie Wähler51 of 101
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.