Pollster and election
INSA on the Saxony-Anhalt state election
23 polls since 20 March 2020, the latest from 2 September 2026 for NIUS. Against the current average of all pollsters, INSA has AfD +1.0 and SPD -0.9. House effect since 3 Sep 2024: CDU -1.7, SPD -0.8, AfD +0.4.
- AfD43.0%+1.0
- CDU22.0%±0
- Linke12.0%-1.0
- SPD7.0%+1.0
- Grüne5.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%±0
43.0%
+1.0
AfD
22.0%
±0
CDU
12.0%
-1.0
Linke
7.0%
+1.0
SPD
5.0%
+1.0
Grüne
4.0%
-1.0
BSW
3.0%
-1.0
FDP
4.0%
±0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the INSA poll of 10 Aug 2026.
Trend
All INSA figures for the Saxony-Anhalt state election
Accuracy
INSA before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 6 Sep 2026 (poll 2 Sep 2026)2.4 ptsbiggest miss CDU +4.8
- Election 6 Jun 2021 (poll 4 Jun 2021)3.0 ptsbiggest miss CDU -10.1
Archive
All 23 polls
| Pollster | Published | AfD | CDU | Linke | SPD | Grüne | BSW | FDP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 2 Sep 2026 | 43 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| INSA | 10 Aug 2026 | 42 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| INSA | 23 Jul 2026 | 41 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| INSA | 3 Jul 2026 | 41 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| INSA | 13 May 2026 | 42 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| INSA | 25 Mar 2026 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| INSA | 27 Jan 2026 | 39 | 26 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 5 |
| INSA | 15 Oct 2025 | 40 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
| INSA | 19 Jun 2025 | 30 | 34 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 5 |
| INSA | 16 Jan 2025 | 31 | 32 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 4 |
| INSA | 5 Nov 2024 | 30 | 32 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 5 |
| INSA | 5 Jul 2024 | 29 | 29 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 4 | 6 |
| INSA | 13 Jun 2024 | 30 | 31 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 6 |
| INSA | 18 Apr 2024 | 29 | 32 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 7 |
| INSA | 24 Oct 2023 | 33 | 32 | 9 | 8 | 5 | – | 4 | 9 |
| INSA | 27 Jun 2023 | 29 | 31 | 9 | 9 | 6 | – | 6 | 10 |
| INSA | 21 Mar 2023 | 26 | 35 | 11 | 8 | 7 | – | 6 | 7 |
| INSA | 4 Jun 2021 | 26 | 27 | 12 | 10 | 8 | – | 7 | 7 |
| INSA | 26 May 2021 | 26 | 25 | 13 | 10 | 11 | – | 8 | 7 |
| INSA | 29 Apr 2021 | 24 | 26 | 13 | 10 | 12 | – | 6 | 9 |
| INSA | 27 Jan 2021 | 23 | 30 | 16 | 10 | 9 | – | 5 | 7 |
| INSA | 2 Dec 2020 | 23 | 29 | 17 | 10 | 10 | – | 4 | 7 |
| INSA | 20 Mar 2020 | 25 | 25 | 18 | 11 | 11 | – | 4 | 6 |