Single poll

INSA poll of 21 March 2023 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
6 to 13 Mar 2023
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • CDU35.0%+8.0
  • AfD26.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%-1.0
  • SPD8.0%-2.0
  • Grüne7.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Jun 2021.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 35.0%, followed by AfD on 26.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 6 to 13 Mar 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Jun 2021, CDU gains 8.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 5.0 points lower and CDU 3.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -5.0average 13.0
  • CDU +3.5average 31.5
  • Grüne +2.5average 4.5
  • FDP +1.5average 4.5
  • Linke +1.0average 10.0
  • AfD ±0average 26.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 31 seatsAfD: 23 seatsLinke: 10 seatsSPD: 7 seatsFDP: 6 seatsGrüne: 6 seatsMajority from 4283of 83 seats
  • CDU31
  • AfD23
  • Linke10
  • SPD7
  • FDP6
  • Grüne6
  • CDU + AfD54 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + SPD48 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + FDP47 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne47 of 83
  • CDU + SPD + FDP44 of 83
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne44 of 83
  • CDU + FDP + Grüne43 of 83
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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