Single poll

INSA poll of 27 June 2023 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
21 to 26 Jun 2023
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • CDU31.0%-4.0
  • AfD29.0%+3.0
  • SPD9.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%-2.0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Grüne6.0%-1.0
  • Others10.0%+3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Mar 2023.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 29.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 21 to 26 Jun 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Mar 2023, CDU loses 4.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 6.0 points lower and AfD 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -6.0average 37.0
  • AfD +3.0average 26.0
  • SPD -3.0average 12.0
  • Grüne +2.0average 4.0
  • Linke -1.0average 10.0
  • FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 29 seatsAfD: 27 seatsSPD: 8 seatsLinke: 8 seatsFDP: 6 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsMajority from 4283of 83 seats
  • CDU29
  • AfD27
  • SPD8
  • Linke8
  • FDP6
  • Grüne5
  • CDU + AfD56 of 83
  • CDU + SPD + Linke45 of 83
  • CDU + SPD + FDP43 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + FDP43 of 83
  • AfD + SPD + Linke43 of 83
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne42 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne42 of 83
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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