INSA poll of 24 October 2023 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 23 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD33.0%+4.0
- CDU32.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- SPD8.0%-1.0
- Grüne5.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%-2.0
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jun 2023.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 33.0%, followed by CDU on 32.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 16 to 23 Oct 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jun 2023, AfD gains 4.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 7.0 points higher and CDU 5.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +7.0average 26.0
- CDU -5.0average 37.0
- SPD -4.0average 12.0
- FDP -2.0average 6.0
- Linke -1.0average 10.0
- Grüne +1.0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD31
- CDU30
- Linke9
- SPD8
- Grüne5
- AfD + CDU61 of 83
- AfD + Linke + SPD48 of 83
- CDU + Linke + SPD47 of 83
- AfD + Linke + Grüne45 of 83
- AfD + SPD + Grüne44 of 83
- CDU + Linke + Grüne44 of 83
- CDU + SPD + Grüne43 of 83
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.