Sunday question Saxony-Anhalt: 2026 election result and final polls
The state election in Saxony-Anhalt took place on 6 September 2026. No pollster has published a new Sunday-question poll since. The figures on this page are the pre-election state (3 September 2026, 5 pollsters); at the top they sit right next to the result. As soon as the first post-election poll appears, it will show here.
2026 state election result vs the final polls
The final polls before the vote were off by 2.4 points per party on average, furthest for CDU (+5.4 points). AfD came first.
| Party | Result | Final polls | ± pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| AfD | 43.8% | 42.0% | -1.8 |
| CDU | 17.2% | 22.6% | +5.4 |
| SPD | 9.3% | 7.9% | -1.4 |
| Grüne | 8.9% | 5.6% | -3.3 |
| Linke | 8.6% | 11.9% | +3.3 |
| BSW | 5.3% | 4.0% | -1.3 |
| FDP | 2.6% | 2.6% | ±0 |
| Others | 4.4% | 3.4% |
Source: state returning officer (official result), polls dawum.de (ODbL), average and deviation calculated by us. Deviation = polls minus result in percentage points.
All results of the 2026 state election: constituencies, seats, turnout
Sunday question Saxony-Anhalt: average of all pollsters
One column per pollster with the date of its latest poll, on the right the average and the last election result.
| Party | Average 3 Sep 2026 | Civey 3 Sep 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 3 Sep 2026 | INSA 2 Sep 2026 | Infratest dimap 26 Aug 2026 | pollytix 12 Aug 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AfD | 42.0 | 41.0 | 41.0 | 43.0 | 42.0 | 43.0 |
| CDU | 22.6 | 23.0 | 23.0 | 22.0 | 22.0 | 23.0 |
| Linke | 11.9 | 12.0 | 11.5 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 |
| SPD | 7.9 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 |
| Grüne | 5.6 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 |
| BSW | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| FDP | 2.6 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| Others | 3.4 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 |
Values in percent, latest poll per pollster within the averaging window. Bold: highest value per party.
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Lighter area: statistical margin of error of a single poll. Change compared with the 2026 election result.
AfD leads with 42.0%, 19.4 points ahead of CDU (22.6%). Biggest movement over 120 days: AfD +4.0 and CDU −2.4. Around the 5% threshold: Grüne 5.6% and BSW 4.0%.
The latest Sunday question from every pollster for Saxony-Anhalt
One row per pollster, each showing its most recently published federal poll. Differences between pollsters are normal: they sample, weight and treat undecided voters differently.
| Pollster | Published | AfD | CDU | Linke | SPD | Grüne | BSW | FDP | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civey | 3 Sep 2026 | 41 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 3 Sep 2026 | 41 | 23 | 11.5 | 8.5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | ||
| INSA | 2 Sep 2026 | 43 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | ||
| Infratest dimap | 26 Aug 2026 | 42 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | ||
| pollytix | 12 Aug 2026 | 43 | 23 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| Min – Max | 41–43 | 22–23 | 11–13 | 7–9 | 5–6 | 4–4 | 2–3 | |||
For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.
If the state election were today: what parliament would look like
Projected seat distribution from the polling average, 83 seats, majority from 42.
- AfD39
- CDU21
- Linke11
- SPD7
- Grüne5
AfD would be the largest group with 39 of 83 seats; a majority needs 42. BSW and FDP would miss the threshold and win no seats.
Polling trend Saxony-Anhalt: how the Sunday question has moved
Since 5 Nov 2024 AfD +8.0 and Linke +3.5 gained, while CDU −7.6 and BSW −6.0 lost points.
What happened recently
New polls, official results and fixed election dates of the past weeks, each with its date.
- PeopleMarkus Fischbach new in parliament: Rheinland-Pfalz
- PeopleJürgen Harrer new in parliament: Hessen
- Local electionsLower Saxony local elections: data as of 31 Oct 2026
- PeopleStefan Evers: mandate ended, Berlin
- PeopleAnne Helm: mandate ended, Berlin
- PeopleKai Wegner: mandate ended, Berlin
- PeopleMartin Pätzold: mandate ended, Berlin
- PeopleAlexander J. Herrmann: mandate ended, Berlin
What the Sunday question tells you, and what it does not
Pollsters usually survey 1,000 to 2,500 eligible voters per poll, by phone, online or a mix. Raw answers are weighted by age, gender, region, education and past voting behaviour; undecided voters and non-voters are excluded. The published figure is each party's share among those naming a party.
The Sunday question measures the mood on the day of the survey; it is not a forecast. How an expectation for election day is derived from it is shown in the election forecast. Each single poll carries a margin of error of roughly two to three points per party; averaging several pollsters smooths out outliers.
Which pollsters systematically rate whom higher or lower is shown under house effects, their accuracy before past elections under pollsters compared. The terms are explained in the election glossary.
Frequently asked questions about the Sunday question
- What was the result of the 2026 state election in Saxony-Anhalt?
- AfD came first with 43.8%, ahead of CDU with 17.2% (official final result of the election on 6 September 2026). The final polls before the vote had AfD at 42.0% and were off by 2.4 points per party on average.
- If the state election in Saxony-Anhalt were held today, who would win?
- Averaged across 5 pollsters, AfD leads with 42.0%, ahead of CDU with 22.6% (as of 3 Sep 2026). Whether that becomes a government is decided by the seat distribution.
- When is the next state election in Saxony-Anhalt?
- The next state election in Saxony-Anhalt is expected autumn 2031. The last one took place on 6 September 2026.
- How often is the Sunday question asked for Saxony-Anhalt?
- In the past twelve months 17 polls from 5 pollsters were published. Polling is far more frequent before state elections than mid-term.
- How is the polling average calculated?
- We take the latest poll of every pollster published within the last 120 days and average them with equal weight. Parties are shown as reported by the pollsters; “Others” collects everything not listed separately. The light area marks the statistical margin of a single poll of about 1,000 respondents.
- Why do pollsters differ?
- Pollsters use different sampling methods (telephone, online panels, mixed) and different weighting of undecided voters. The spread between the lowest and highest value per party is shown as a range; systematic differences per pollster are analysed under “house effects”.
More on Saxony-Anhalt
Sunday question in the other states