Single poll

Civey poll of 3 September 2026 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election

Commissioned by
WELT
Fieldwork period
20 Aug 2026 to 3 Sep 2026
Respondents
1,500
Method
Online
  • AfD41.0%-2.0
  • CDU23.0%+2.0
  • Linke12.0%±0
  • SPD9.0%+2.0
  • Grüne6.0%+1.0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • FDP2.0%-2.0
  • Others3.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 25 Aug 2026.

In this poll Civey has AfD ahead on 41.0%, followed by CDU on 23.0%. 1,500 people were surveyed from 20 Aug 2026 to 3 Sep 2026, method Online, commissioned by WELT.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 25 Aug 2026, AfD loses 2.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.4average 7.6
  • AfD -1.3average 42.3
  • FDP -0.8average 2.8
  • CDU +0.5average 22.5
  • Grüne +0.5average 5.5
  • Linke +0.1average 11.9
  • BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 37 seatsCDU: 21 seatsLinke: 11 seatsSPD: 8 seatsGrüne: 6 seatsMajority from 4283of 83 seats
  • AfD37
  • CDU21
  • Linke11
  • SPD8
  • Grüne6
  • AfD + CDU58 of 83
  • AfD + Linke48 of 83
  • AfD + SPD45 of 83
  • AfD + Grüne43 of 83
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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