Single poll

Civey poll of 25 August 2026 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election

Commissioned by
WELT
Fieldwork period
6 to 20 Aug 2026
Respondents
1,500
Method
Online
  • AfD43.0%+15.0
  • CDU21.0%-8.0
  • Linke12.0%+2.0
  • SPD7.0%-3.0
  • Grüne5.0%-3.0
  • FDP4.0%-2.0
  • BSW4.0%
  • Others4.0%-5.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 3 Jun 2021.

In this poll Civey has AfD ahead on 43.0%, followed by CDU on 21.0%. 1,500 people were surveyed from 6 to 20 Aug 2026, method Online, commissioned by WELT.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 3 Jun 2021, AfD gains 15.0 points, CDU loses 8.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -2.0average 23.0
  • AfD +1.0average 42.0
  • Linke -1.0average 13.0
  • FDP +1.0average 3.0
  • SPD +0.3average 6.7
  • Grüne +0.3average 4.7
  • BSW -0.3average 4.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 40 seatsCDU: 20 seatsLinke: 11 seatsSPD: 7 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsMajority from 4283of 83 seats
  • AfD40
  • CDU20
  • Linke11
  • SPD7
  • Grüne5
  • AfD + CDU60 of 83
  • AfD + Linke51 of 83
  • AfD + SPD47 of 83
  • AfD + Grüne45 of 83
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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