Sunday question Saarland: if the state election were this Sunday
"Which party would you vote for if the state election were held next Sunday?" This page shows the answer for Saarland averaged across the 1 pollster whose latest poll is at most 180 days old, compared with the result of the last election on 27 March 2022. Below: the latest poll from each pollster and the trend.
Sunday question Saarland: average of all pollsters
One column per pollster with the date of its latest poll, on the right the average and the last election result.
| Party | Average 4 Nov 2026 | Infratest dimap 4 Nov 2026 | 2022 election |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPD | 33.0 | 33.0 | 43.5 |
| AfD | 21.0 | 21.0 | 5.7 |
| CDU | 20.0 | 20.0 | 28.5 |
| Grüne | 9.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 |
| Linke | 6.0 | 6.0 | 2.6 |
| FDP | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.8 |
| BSW | 3.0 | 3.0 | – |
| Others | 5.0 | 5.0 | 9.9 |
Values in percent, latest poll per pollster within the averaging window. Bold: highest value per party.
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Lighter area: statistical margin of error of a single poll. Change compared with the 2022 election result.
SPD leads with 33.0%, 12.0 points ahead of AfD (21.0%). Biggest movement over 180 days: SPD +6.0 and CDU −5.0. Around the 5% threshold: Linke 6.0%.
The latest Sunday question from every pollster for Saarland
One row per pollster, each showing its most recently published federal poll. Differences between pollsters are normal: they sample, weight and treat undecided voters differently.
| Pollster | Published | SPD | AfD | CDU | Grüne | Linke | FDP | BSW |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infratest dimap | 4 Nov 2026 | 33 | 21 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
If the state election were today: what parliament would look like
Projected seat distribution from the polling average, 51 seats, majority from 26.
- SPD19
- AfD12
- CDU12
- Grüne5
- Linke3
SPD would be the largest group with 19 of 51 seats; a majority needs 26. FDP and BSW would miss the threshold and win no seats.
Polling trend Saarland: how the Sunday question has moved
What happened recently
New polls, official results and fixed election dates of the past weeks, each with its date.
- New pollSaarland: Infratest dimap for Saarländischer Rundfunk
- PeopleMarkus Fischbach new in parliament: Rheinland-Pfalz
- PeopleJürgen Harrer new in parliament: Hessen
- Local electionsLower Saxony local elections: data as of 31 Oct 2026
- PeopleStefan Evers: mandate ended, Berlin
- PeopleAnne Helm: mandate ended, Berlin
- PeopleKai Wegner: mandate ended, Berlin
- PeopleMartin Pätzold: mandate ended, Berlin
What the Sunday question tells you, and what it does not
Pollsters usually survey 1,000 to 2,500 eligible voters per poll, by phone, online or a mix. Raw answers are weighted by age, gender, region, education and past voting behaviour; undecided voters and non-voters are excluded. The published figure is each party's share among those naming a party.
The Sunday question measures the mood on the day of the survey; it is not a forecast. How an expectation for election day is derived from it is shown in the election forecast. Each single poll carries a margin of error of roughly two to three points per party; averaging several pollsters smooths out outliers.
Which pollsters systematically rate whom higher or lower is shown under house effects, their accuracy before past elections under pollsters compared. The terms are explained in the election glossary.
Frequently asked questions about the Sunday question
- If the state election in Saarland were held today, who would win?
- Averaged across 1 pollster, SPD leads with 33.0%, ahead of AfD with 21.0% (as of 4 Nov 2026). Whether that becomes a government is decided by the seat distribution.
- When is the next state election in Saarland?
- The next state election in Saarland is 18 April 2027. The last one took place on 27 March 2022.
- How often is the Sunday question asked for Saarland?
- In the past twelve months 2 polls from 1 pollsters were published. Polling is far more frequent before state elections than mid-term.
- How is the polling average calculated?
- We take the latest poll of every pollster published within the last 180 days and average them with equal weight. Parties are shown as reported by the pollsters; “Others” collects everything not listed separately. The light area marks the statistical margin of a single poll of about 1,000 respondents.
- Why do pollsters differ?
- Pollsters use different sampling methods (telephone, online panels, mixed) and different weighting of undecided voters. The spread between the lowest and highest value per party is shown as a range; systematic differences per pollster are analysed under “house effects”.
More on Saarland
Sunday question in the other states