Latest polls · as of 3 December 2025

Sunday question Saarland: if the state election were this Sunday

"Which party would you vote for if the state election were held next Sunday?" This page shows the answer for Saarland averaged across the 1 pollsters whose latest poll is at most 180 days old, compared with the result of the last election on 27 March 2022. Below: the latest poll from each pollster and the trend.

Sunday question Saarland

Sunday question Saarland: average of all pollsters

Sunday question Saarland: average of all pollsters
Shares in percent, latest poll per pollster within 180 days, change on the previous average in points
  • SPD27.0%-16.5
  • CDU25.0%-3.5
  • AfD23.0%+17.3
  • Grüne7.0%+2.0
  • Linke7.0%+4.4
  • BSW3.0%
  • Others8.0%-6.7

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Lighter area: statistical margin of error of a single poll. Change compared with the 2022 election result.

SPD leads with 27.0%, 2.0 points ahead of CDU (25.0%). Biggest movement over 180 days: AfD +6.0 and SPD −3.0.

Wahlergebnisse.io© 2026Source: dawum.de (ODbL), average calculated by us · As of: 3 Dec 2025
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By pollster

The latest Sunday question from every pollster for Saarland

One row per pollster, each showing its most recently published federal poll. Differences between pollsters are normal: they sample, weight and treat undecided voters differently.

Sunday question for the federal election: latest poll per pollster
PollsterPublishedSPDCDUAfDGrüneLinkeBSW
Infratest dimap3 Dec 2025272523773

House effects: which pollster rates whom higher?

Trend

How the Sunday question in Saarland has moved

How the Sunday question in Saarland has moved
Rolling 180-day average, shares in percent
010203040Jun 24Aug 24Oct 24Dec 24Feb 25Apr 25Jun 25Aug 25Oct 25Dec 25SPDCDUAfDGrüneLinkeBSW
Dots are individual polls, lines the rolling average over 180 days. Period 4 May 2024 to 3 Dec 2025. Tap the tiles to hide parties.

Since 4 May 2024 AfD +7.4 and Grüne +1.3 gained, while BSW −3.5 and SPD −3.5 lost points.

Wahlergebnisse.io© 2026Source: dawum.de (ODbL), average calculated by us · As of: 3 Dec 2025
Context

What the Sunday question tells you, and what it does not

Pollsters usually survey 1,000 to 2,500 eligible voters per poll, by phone, online or a mix. Raw answers are weighted by age, gender, region, education and past voting behaviour; undecided voters and non-voters are excluded. The published figure is each party's share among those naming a party.

The Sunday question measures the mood on the day of the survey; it is not a forecast. How an expectation for election day is derived from it is shown in the election forecast. Each single poll carries a margin of error of roughly two to three points per party; averaging several pollsters smooths out outliers.

Which pollsters systematically rate whom higher or lower is shown under house effects, their accuracy before past elections under pollsters compared. The terms are explained in the election glossary.

Questions

Frequently asked questions about the Sunday question

If the state election in Saarland were held today, who would win?
Averaged across 1 pollsters, SPD leads with 27.0%, ahead of CDU with 25.0% (as of 3 Dec 2025). Whether that becomes a government is decided by the seat distribution.
When is the next state election in Saarland?
The next state election in Saarland is 18 April 2027. The last one took place on 27 March 2022.
How often is the Sunday question asked for Saarland?
In the past twelve months 2 polls from 1 pollsters were published. Polling is far more frequent before state elections than mid-term.
How is the polling average calculated?
We take the latest poll of every pollster published within the last 180 days and average them with equal weight. Parties are shown as reported by the pollsters; “Others” collects everything not listed separately. The light area marks the statistical margin of a single poll of about 1,000 respondents.
Why do pollsters differ?
Pollsters use different sampling methods (telephone, online panels, mixed) and different weighting of undecided voters. The spread between the lowest and highest value per party is shown as a range; systematic differences per pollster are analysed under “house effects”.
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