Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 13 November 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 12 Nov 2026
- Respondents
- 1,297
- Method
- Telefon & Online
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Oct 2026.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,297 people were surveyed from 10 to 12 Nov 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 23 Oct 2026, AfD gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Nov 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.3average 19.7
- FDP -1.1average 4.1
- SPD -0.6average 13.6
- Linke -0.5average 10.5
- Grüne -0.3average 15.3
- AfD +0.1average 27.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD200
- CDU/CSU158
- Grüne107
- SPD93
- Linke72
- AfD + CDU/CSU358 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD400 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke379 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke323 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.