Single poll

INSA poll of 2 September 2026 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election

Commissioned by
NIUS
Fieldwork period
26 Aug 2026 to 1 Sep 2026
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • AfD43.0%+1.0
  • CDU22.0%±0
  • Linke12.0%-1.0
  • SPD7.0%+1.0
  • Grüne5.0%+1.0
  • BSW4.0%-1.0
  • FDP3.0%-1.0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Aug 2026.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 43.0%, followed by CDU on 22.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 26 Aug 2026 to 1 Sep 2026, method Online, commissioned by NIUS.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Aug 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.0average 42.0
  • SPD -0.8average 7.8
  • Grüne -0.5average 5.5
  • CDU -0.3average 22.3
  • Linke -0.3average 12.3
  • BSW +0.2average 3.8
  • FDP ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 40 seatsCDU: 20 seatsLinke: 11 seatsSPD: 7 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsMajority from 4283of 83 seats
  • AfD40
  • CDU20
  • Linke11
  • SPD7
  • Grüne5
  • AfD + CDU60 of 83
  • AfD + Linke51 of 83
  • AfD + SPD47 of 83
  • AfD + Grüne45 of 83
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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