Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 3 September 2026 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
1 to 3 Sep 2026
Respondents
1,044
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD41.0%+1.0
  • CDU23.0%±0
  • Linke11.5%-1.5
  • SPD8.5%-0.5
  • Grüne6.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%+1.0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • Others3.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 Aug 2026.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD ahead on 41.0%, followed by CDU on 23.0%. 1,044 people were surveyed from 1 to 3 Sep 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 Aug 2026, Linke loses 1.5 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.3average 42.3
  • SPD +0.7average 7.8
  • CDU +0.5average 22.5
  • Linke -0.5average 12.0
  • Grüne +0.5average 5.5
  • FDP +0.5average 2.5
  • BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 38 seatsCDU: 21 seatsLinke: 11 seatsSPD: 8 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsMajority from 4283of 83 seats
  • AfD38
  • CDU21
  • Linke11
  • SPD8
  • Grüne5
  • AfD + CDU59 of 83
  • AfD + Linke49 of 83
  • AfD + SPD46 of 83
  • AfD + Grüne43 of 83
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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