Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 August 2026 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
25 to 27 Aug 2026
Respondents
1,053
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD40.0%+17.0
  • CDU23.0%-7.0
  • Linke13.0%+1.5
  • SPD9.0%-1.0
  • Grüne6.0%-3.0
  • FDP3.0%-3.5
  • BSW3.0%
  • Others3.0%-4.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 3 Jun 2021.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD ahead on 40.0%, followed by CDU on 23.0%. 1,053 people were surveyed from 25 to 27 Aug 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 3 Jun 2021, AfD gains 17.0 points, CDU loses 7.0 points, FDP loses 3.5 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD 2.5 points lower and SPD 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -2.5average 42.5
  • SPD +2.0average 7.0
  • BSW -1.3average 4.3
  • CDU +1.0average 22.0
  • Grüne +1.0average 5.0
  • Linke +0.7average 12.3
  • FDP -0.3average 3.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 37 seatsCDU: 21 seatsLinke: 12 seatsSPD: 8 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsMajority from 4283of 83 seats
  • AfD37
  • CDU21
  • Linke12
  • SPD8
  • Grüne5
  • AfD + CDU58 of 83
  • AfD + Linke49 of 83
  • AfD + SPD45 of 83
  • AfD + Grüne42 of 83
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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