Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 3 June 2021 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
2 to 3 Jun 2021
Respondents
1,184
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU30.0%+1.0
  • AfD23.0%±0
  • Linke11.5%+0.5
  • SPD10.0%±0
  • Grüne9.0%±0
  • FDP6.5%-1.5
  • Freie Wähler3.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 May 2021.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,184 people were surveyed from 2 to 3 Jun 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 28 May 2021, FDP loses 1.5 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has AfD 3.0 points lower and CDU 2.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -3.0average 26.0
  • CDU +2.7average 27.3
  • FDP -0.8average 7.3
  • Linke +0.5average 11.0
  • SPD -0.3average 10.3
  • Grüne -0.3average 9.3
  • Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 28 seatsAfD: 21 seatsLinke: 11 seatsSPD: 9 seatsGrüne: 8 seatsFDP: 6 seatsMajority from 4283of 83 seats
  • CDU28
  • AfD21
  • Linke11
  • SPD9
  • Grüne8
  • FDP6
  • CDU + AfD49 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + SPD48 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne47 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + FDP45 of 83
  • CDU + SPD + Grüne45 of 83
  • CDU + SPD + FDP43 of 83
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP42 of 83
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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