Single poll

INSA poll of 4 June 2021 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
1 to 4 Jun 2021
Respondents
1,132
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU27.0%+2.0
  • AfD26.0%±0
  • Linke12.0%-1.0
  • SPD10.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%-3.0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 May 2021.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 26.0%. 1,132 people were surveyed from 1 to 4 Jun 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 May 2021, Grüne loses 3.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 1.7 points lower and Linke 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -1.7average 28.7
  • Linke +1.7average 10.3
  • AfD +1.0average 25.0
  • Grüne -0.7average 8.7
  • SPD -0.3average 10.3
  • FDP -0.3average 7.3
  • Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 25 seatsAfD: 24 seatsLinke: 11 seatsSPD: 9 seatsFDP: 7 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsMajority from 4283of 83 seats
  • CDU25
  • AfD24
  • Linke11
  • SPD9
  • FDP7
  • Grüne7
  • CDU + AfD49 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + SPD45 of 83
  • AfD + Linke + SPD44 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + FDP43 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne43 of 83
  • AfD + Linke + FDP42 of 83
  • AfD + Linke + Grüne42 of 83
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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