Pollster and election
INSA on the Hesse state election
17 polls since 17 May 2018, the latest from 29 April 2026 for BILD. Against the current average of all pollsters, INSA has CDU -1.0 and AfD +1.0.
- CDU30.0%-1.0
- AfD22.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler4.0%+1.0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+2.0
30.0%
-1.0
CDU
22.0%
+1.0
AfD
15.0%
±0
SPD
13.0%
±0
Grüne
7.0%
+1.0
Linke
4.0%
+1.0
Freie Wähler
3.0%
-1.0
FDP
6.0%
+2.0
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the INSA poll of 18 Mar 2026.
Trend
All INSA figures for the Hesse state election
Accuracy
INSA before the last elections
Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.
- Election 8 Oct 2023 (poll 4 Oct 2023)1.5 ptsbiggest miss CDU -3.6
- Election 28 Oct 2018 (poll 23 Oct 2018)0.9 ptsbiggest miss Linke +1.7
Archive
All 17 polls
| Pollster | Published | CDU | AfD | SPD | Grüne | Linke | Freie Wähler | FDP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 29 Apr 2026 | 30 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| INSA | 18 Mar 2026 | 31 | 21 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| INSA | 9 Oct 2025 | 32 | 20 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| INSA | 25 Mar 2025 | 31 | 19 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| INSA | 13 Aug 2024 | 32 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| INSA | 12 Apr 2024 | 33 | 18 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| INSA | 4 Oct 2023 | 31 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| INSA | 13 Sep 2023 | 29 | 15 | 20 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| INSA | 16 Jun 2023 | 29 | 13 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| INSA | 4 May 2023 | 30 | 12 | 21 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| INSA | 12 Apr 2022 | 24 | 10 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| INSA | 22 Oct 2021 | 20 | 11 | 26 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
| INSA | 3 Nov 2020 | 30 | 11 | 18 | 19 | 9 | – | 6 | 7 |
| INSA | 24 Dec 2019 | 26 | 13 | 16 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| INSA | 23 Oct 2018 | 26 | 13 | 21 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| INSA | 7 Sep 2018 | 29 | 14 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 1.5 | 7 | 2.5 |
| INSA | 17 May 2018 | 33 | 11 | 24 | 13 | 8 | – | 7 | 4 |