Wahlergebnissede
Pollster and election

INSA on the Hamburg state election

4 polls since 12 November 2019, the latest from 20 June 2026 for INSA. Against the current average of all pollsters, INSA has CDU -2.0 and Grüne -1.5.

  • SPD31.0%-1.0
  • Grüne17.0%+1.0
  • CDU16.0%-1.0
  • Linke14.0%+1.0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • Others7.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the INSA poll of 27 Feb 2025.

This poll in detail

Trend

All INSA figures for the Hamburg state election

010203040Mar 25May 25Jul 25Sep 25Nov 25Jan 26Mar 26May 26SPDGrüneCDULinkeAfDFDP
Dots are individual polls, lines the rolling average over 180 days. Period 27 Feb 2025 to 20 Jun 2026. Tap the tiles to hide parties.
Accuracy

INSA before the last elections

Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.

  • Election 2 Mar 2025 (poll 27 Feb 2025)2.0 ptsbiggest miss AfD +3.5
  • Election 23 Feb 2020 (poll 19 Feb 2020)1.2 ptsbiggest miss CDU +1.8
Archive

All 4 polls

INSA polls for the Hamburg state election
PollsterPublishedSPDGrüneCDULinkeAfDFDPOthers
INSA20 Jun 2026311716141237
INSA27 Feb 2025321617131135
INSA19 Feb 20203823138756
INSA12 Nov 201925261712884

Other elections covered by this pollster

Election tickerNext electionSaarland207 daysLatest pollForsa, North Rhine-Westphalia23 Sep 2026CDU 29AfD 22Grüne 18Biggest moveSPD, Rhineland-Palatinate▼ −8,3Leading nationallyAfDfor 159 daysRun-offsLower Saxony local elections4 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%, preliminary

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.