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Pollster and election

INSA on the Thuringia state election

54 polls since 14 April 2017, the latest from 2 July 2026 for FUNKE Medien Thüringen. Against the current average of all pollsters, INSA has AfD ±0 and CDU ±0.

  • AfD40.0%+1.0
  • CDU22.0%-2.0
  • Linke16.0%+2.0
  • BSW7.0%±0
  • SPD6.0%±0
  • Grüne4.0%+1.0
  • Others5.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the INSA poll of 11 Apr 2026.

This poll in detail

Trend

All INSA figures for the Thuringia state election

0102030402023202420252026AfDCDULinkeBSWSPDGrüne
Dots are individual polls, lines the rolling average over 120 days. Period 13 Jul 2022 to 2 Jul 2026. Tap the tiles to hide parties.
Accuracy

INSA before the last elections

Deviation of the final poll before the election from the official result, mean absolute deviation per party.

  • Election 1 Sep 2024 (poll 24 Aug 2024)1.8 ptsbiggest miss BSW +4.2
  • Election 27 Oct 2019 (poll 24 Oct 2019)1.6 ptsbiggest miss Linke -3.0
Archive

All 54 polls

INSA polls for the Thuringia state election
PollsterPublishedAfDCDULinkeBSWSPDGrüneOthers
INSA2 Jul 20264022167645
INSA11 Apr 20263924147637
INSA5 Feb 20263824147737
INSA11 Dec 20253924147637
INSA11 Sep 20253725149735
INSA8 May 202535241411835
INSA5 Feb 202535251113745
INSA11 Dec 202434251214744
INSA7 Nov 2024342513146–8
INSA24 Aug 202430211420633
INSA13 Aug 202430211619632
INSA26 Jun 202429221420742
INSA1 May 202430201616754
INSA19 Mar 202431211813653
INSA17 Jan 202431201517653
INSA9 Nov 2023342220–947
INSA16 Sep 2023322122–1065
INSA13 Jul 2023322022–1057
INSA27 Apr 2023282122–1167
INSA1 Feb 2023262225–1064
INSA10 Nov 2022252123–1175
INSA21 Sep 2022262023–1187
INSA13 Jul 2022242024–1386
INSA16 Apr 2022222024–1676
INSA9 Mar 2022231925–1665
INSA3 Dec 2021231524–1876
INSA4 Oct 2021241520–2175
INSA16 Jul 2021222127–976
INSA17 Jun 2021232226–967
INSA18 Mar 2021231930–985
INSA4 Feb 2021232231–783
INSA6 Nov 2020222233–963
INSA15 Oct 2020222233–874
INSA4 Sep 2020222233–955
INSA30 Jul 2020212235–963
INSA24 Jun 2020222235–963
INSA21 May 2020222134–873
INSA2 Apr 2020231837–774
INSA12 Mar 2020251538–864
INSA14 Feb 2020251440–764
INSA6 Feb 2020231934–665
INSA24 Oct 2019242428–982
INSA26 Sep 2019242329–992
INSA22 Aug 2019212426–9113
INSA27 Jun 2019202624–10105
INSA30 May 2019202625–1185
INSA25 Apr 2019192725–1076
INSA26 Mar 2019202724–1086
INSA9 Nov 2018222322–12123
INSA2 Jun 2018183126–1064
INSA23 Feb 2018183224–1074
INSA23 Oct 2017203120–1345
INSA4 Aug 2017183722–1143
INSA14 Apr 2017193322–1552

Other elections covered by this pollster

Election tickerNext electionSaarland207 daysLatest pollForsa, North Rhine-Westphalia23 Sep 2026CDU 29AfD 22Grüne 18Biggest moveSPD, Rhineland-Palatinate▼ −8,3Leading nationallyAfDfor 159 daysRun-offsLower Saxony local elections4 daysLatest resultBerlin state election 2026Linke 25.7%, preliminary

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