Single poll

INSA poll of 30 May 2019 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
21 to 24 May 2019
Respondents
1,029
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU26.0%-1.0
  • Linke25.0%±0
  • AfD20.0%+1.0
  • SPD11.0%+1.0
  • Grüne8.0%+1.0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Apr 2019.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Linke on 25.0%. 1,029 people were surveyed from 21 to 24 May 2019, method Unbekannt, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Apr 2019, CDU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -2.3average 28.3
  • Linke +0.8average 24.2
  • Grüne +0.3average 7.7
  • AfD +0.2average 19.8
  • SPD ±0average 11.0
  • FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 24 seatsLinke: 23 seatsAfD: 19 seatsSPD: 10 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • CDU24
  • Linke23
  • AfD19
  • SPD10
  • Grüne7
  • FDP5
  • CDU + Linke47 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + SPD53 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + SPD52 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne50 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + Grüne49 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + FDP48 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + FDP47 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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