Single poll

INSA poll of 27 June 2019 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
18 to 24 Jun 2019
Respondents
1,005
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU26.0%±0
  • Linke24.0%-1.0
  • AfD20.0%±0
  • SPD10.0%-1.0
  • Grüne10.0%+2.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 May 2019.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Linke on 24.0%. 1,005 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Jun 2019, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 May 2019, Grüne gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +1.6average 22.4
  • CDU -1.3average 27.3
  • AfD -1.3average 21.3
  • Grüne +0.9average 9.1
  • SPD -0.3average 10.3
  • FDP -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 24 seatsLinke: 22 seatsAfD: 19 seatsSPD: 9 seatsGrüne: 9 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • CDU24
  • Linke22
  • AfD19
  • SPD9
  • Grüne9
  • FDP5
  • CDU + Linke46 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + SPD52 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne52 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + SPD50 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + Grüne50 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + FDP48 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + FDP46 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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