Single poll

INSA poll of 22 August 2019 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
12 to 19 Aug 2019
Respondents
1,009
Method
Telefon & Online
  • Linke26.0%+2.0
  • CDU24.0%-2.0
  • AfD21.0%+1.0
  • Grüne11.0%+1.0
  • SPD9.0%-1.0
  • FDP4.0%-1.0
  • Freie Wähler2.0%
  • Others3.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jun 2019.

In this poll INSA has Linke ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU on 24.0%. 1,009 people were surveyed from 12 to 19 Aug 2019, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jun 2019, Linke gains 2.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 3.1 points higher and AfD 2.3 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +3.1average 22.9
  • AfD -2.3average 23.3
  • FDP -1.1average 5.1
  • Grüne +0.4average 10.6
  • CDU +0.2average 23.8
  • SPD +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

Linke: 25 seatsCDU: 23 seatsAfD: 20 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsSPD: 9 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • Linke25
  • CDU23
  • AfD20
  • Grüne11
  • SPD9
  • Linke + CDU48 of 88
  • Linke + AfD45 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne54 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + SPD52 of 88
  • Linke + Grüne + SPD45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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