Single poll

INSA poll of 25 April 2019 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
11 to 22 Apr 2019
Respondents
1,001
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU27.0%±0
  • Linke25.0%+1.0
  • AfD19.0%-1.0
  • SPD10.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%-1.0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Mar 2019.

In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Linke on 25.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 11 to 22 Apr 2019, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Mar 2019, Linke gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -1.3average 28.3
  • SPD -1.0average 11.0
  • FDP +1.0average 5.0
  • Linke +0.8average 24.2
  • AfD -0.8average 19.8
  • Grüne -0.7average 7.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 25 seatsLinke: 23 seatsAfD: 18 seatsSPD: 9 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsFDP: 6 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • CDU25
  • Linke23
  • AfD18
  • SPD9
  • Grüne7
  • FDP6
  • CDU + Linke48 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + SPD52 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne50 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + SPD50 of 88
  • CDU + AfD + FDP49 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + Grüne48 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + FDP47 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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