INSA poll of 26 March 2019 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 25 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 1,008
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU27.0%+4.0
- Linke24.0%+2.0
- AfD20.0%-2.0
- SPD10.0%-2.0
- Grüne8.0%-4.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Nov 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Linke on 24.0%. 1,008 people were surveyed from 19 to 25 Mar 2019, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Nov 2018, CDU gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 4.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -1.0average 28.0
- SPD -1.0average 11.0
- Linke ±0average 24.0
- AfD ±0average 20.0
- Grüne ±0average 8.0
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU25
- Linke22
- AfD19
- SPD9
- Grüne8
- FDP5
- CDU + Linke47 of 88
- CDU + AfD + SPD53 of 88
- CDU + AfD + Grüne52 of 88
- Linke + AfD + SPD50 of 88
- CDU + AfD + FDP49 of 88
- Linke + AfD + Grüne49 of 88
- Linke + AfD + FDP46 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.