INSA poll of 9 November 2018 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- FUNKE Medien Thüringen
- Fieldwork period
- 22 Oct 2018 to 7 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU23.0%-8.0
- Linke22.0%-4.0
- AfD22.0%+4.0
- SPD12.0%+2.0
- Grüne12.0%+6.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Others3.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Jun 2018.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 23.0%, followed by Linke on 22.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 22 Oct 2018 to 7 Nov 2018, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Jun 2018, CDU loses 8.0 points, Grüne gains 6.0 points, Linke loses 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 7.1 points higher and CDU 7.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +7.1average 4.9
- CDU -7.0average 30.0
- SPD +1.8average 10.2
- Linke -1.1average 23.1
- AfD -0.7average 22.7
- FDP +0.6average 5.4
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU21
- Linke20
- AfD20
- SPD11
- Grüne11
- FDP5
- CDU + Linke + AfD61 of 88
- CDU + Linke + SPD52 of 88
- CDU + Linke + Grüne52 of 88
- CDU + AfD + SPD52 of 88
- CDU + AfD + Grüne52 of 88
- Linke + AfD + SPD51 of 88
- Linke + AfD + Grüne51 of 88
- CDU + Linke + FDP46 of 88
- CDU + AfD + FDP46 of 88
- Linke + AfD + FDP45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.