Single poll

INSA poll of 15 October 2020 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
5 to 12 Oct 2020
Respondents
1,004
Method
Telefon & Online
  • Linke33.0%±0
  • AfD22.0%±0
  • CDU22.0%±0
  • SPD8.0%-1.0
  • Grüne7.0%+2.0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Sep 2020.

In this poll INSA has Linke ahead on 33.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 5 to 12 Oct 2020, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Sep 2020, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.0 points higher and CDU 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +2.0average 20.0
  • CDU -2.0average 24.0
  • SPD -2.0average 10.0
  • Linke +1.0average 32.0
  • Grüne +1.0average 6.0
  • FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

Linke: 31 seatsAfD: 21 seatsCDU: 21 seatsSPD: 8 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • Linke31
  • AfD21
  • CDU21
  • SPD8
  • Grüne7
  • Linke + AfD52 of 88
  • Linke + CDU52 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + SPD50 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne49 of 88
  • Linke + SPD + Grüne46 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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