Single poll

INSA poll of 6 February 2020 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
5 to 6 Feb 2020
Respondents
1,006
Method
Telefon & Online
  • Linke34.0%+6.0
  • AfD23.0%-1.0
  • CDU19.0%-5.0
  • FDP7.0%+2.0
  • SPD6.0%-3.0
  • Grüne6.0%-2.0
  • Others5.0%+3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Oct 2019.

In this poll INSA has Linke ahead on 34.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,006 people were surveyed from 5 to 6 Feb 2020, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Oct 2019, Linke gains 6.0 points, CDU loses 5.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 3.9 points higher and CDU 3.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +3.9average 30.1
  • CDU -3.6average 22.6
  • SPD -2.4average 8.4
  • FDP +1.7average 5.3
  • Grüne -0.8average 6.8
  • AfD +0.3average 22.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

Linke: 31 seatsAfD: 21 seatsCDU: 18 seatsSPD: 6 seatsFDP: 6 seatsGrüne: 6 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • Linke31
  • AfD21
  • CDU18
  • SPD6
  • FDP6
  • Grüne6
  • Linke + AfD52 of 88
  • Linke + CDU49 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + SPD45 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + FDP45 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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