Single poll

INSA poll of 24 October 2019 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
14 to 21 Oct 2019
Respondents
1,010
Method
Telefon & Online
  • Linke28.0%-1.0
  • AfD24.0%±0
  • CDU24.0%+1.0
  • SPD9.0%±0
  • Grüne8.0%-1.0
  • FDP5.0%+1.0
  • Others2.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Sep 2019.

In this poll INSA has Linke ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,010 people were surveyed from 14 to 21 Oct 2019, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Sep 2019, Linke loses 1.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Oct 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.3average 22.7
  • Linke -1.1average 29.1
  • Grüne +0.9average 7.1
  • SPD +0.6average 8.4
  • CDU -0.3average 24.3
  • FDP +0.3average 4.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

Linke: 25 seatsAfD: 22 seatsCDU: 22 seatsSPD: 8 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsFDP: 4 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • Linke25
  • AfD22
  • CDU22
  • SPD8
  • Grüne7
  • FDP4
  • Linke + AfD47 of 88
  • Linke + CDU47 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + SPD52 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne51 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + FDP48 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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