Single poll

INSA poll of 18 March 2021 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
8 to 16 Mar 2021
Respondents
1,036
Method
Telefon & Online
  • Linke30.0%-1.0
  • AfD23.0%±0
  • CDU19.0%-3.0
  • SPD9.0%+2.0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%±0
  • Others5.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Feb 2021.

In this poll INSA has Linke ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,036 people were surveyed from 8 to 16 Mar 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Feb 2021, CDU loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 3.0 points lower and Grüne 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -3.0average 22.0
  • Grüne +3.0average 5.0
  • Linke +1.0average 29.0
  • SPD -1.0average 10.0
  • AfD ±0average 23.0
  • FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

Linke: 28 seatsAfD: 21 seatsCDU: 18 seatsSPD: 8 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsFDP: 6 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • Linke28
  • AfD21
  • CDU18
  • SPD8
  • Grüne7
  • FDP6
  • Linke + AfD49 of 88
  • Linke + CDU46 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + SPD47 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne46 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + FDP45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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