INSA poll of 4 February 2021 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- FUNKE Medien Thüringen
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Jan 2021 to 2 Feb 2021
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- Linke31.0%-2.0
- AfD23.0%+1.0
- CDU22.0%±0
- Grüne8.0%+2.0
- SPD7.0%-2.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Others3.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Nov 2020.
In this poll INSA has Linke ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 27 Jan 2021 to 2 Feb 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 6 Nov 2020, Linke loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 3.0 points higher and SPD 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +3.0average 20.0
- SPD -3.0average 10.0
- CDU -2.0average 24.0
- Grüne +2.0average 6.0
- FDP +2.0average 4.0
- Linke -1.0average 32.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- Linke28
- AfD21
- CDU20
- Grüne7
- SPD6
- FDP6
- Linke + AfD49 of 88
- Linke + CDU48 of 88
- AfD + CDU + Grüne48 of 88
- AfD + CDU + SPD47 of 88
- AfD + CDU + FDP47 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.