Single poll

INSA poll of 13 August 2024 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
5 to 12 Aug 2024
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • AfD30.0%+1.0
  • CDU21.0%-1.0
  • BSW19.0%-1.0
  • Linke16.0%+2.0
  • SPD6.0%-1.0
  • FDP3.0%+1.0
  • Grüne3.0%-1.0
  • Others2.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Jun 2024.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 5 to 12 Aug 2024, method Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Jun 2024, Linke gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 2.2 points higher and AfD 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +2.2average 13.8
  • AfD +1.5average 28.5
  • CDU -1.3average 22.3
  • BSW -0.7average 19.7
  • FDP +0.5average 2.5
  • SPD -0.2average 6.2
  • Grüne -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 29 seatsCDU: 20 seatsBSW: 18 seatsLinke: 15 seatsSPD: 6 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • AfD29
  • CDU20
  • BSW18
  • Linke15
  • SPD6
  • AfD + CDU49 of 88
  • AfD + BSW47 of 88
  • CDU + BSW + Linke53 of 88
  • AfD + Linke + SPD50 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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