Single poll

INSA poll of 24 August 2024 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
19 to 23 Aug 2024
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD30.0%±0
  • CDU21.0%±0
  • BSW20.0%+1.0
  • Linke14.0%-2.0
  • SPD6.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • Grüne3.0%±0
  • Others3.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Aug 2024.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 30.0%, followed by CDU on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 19 to 23 Aug 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Aug 2024, Linke loses 2.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 2.2 points higher and CDU 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • BSW +2.2average 17.8
  • CDU -1.5average 22.5
  • AfD +0.6average 29.4
  • FDP +0.5average 2.5
  • Grüne -0.4average 3.4
  • Linke +0.1average 13.9
  • SPD -0.1average 6.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 29 seatsCDU: 20 seatsBSW: 19 seatsLinke: 14 seatsSPD: 6 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • AfD29
  • CDU20
  • BSW19
  • Linke14
  • SPD6
  • AfD + CDU49 of 88
  • AfD + BSW48 of 88
  • CDU + BSW + Linke53 of 88
  • AfD + Linke + SPD49 of 88
  • CDU + BSW + SPD45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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