INSA poll of 7 November 2024 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- FUNKE Medien Thüringen
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Oct 2024 to 4 Nov 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- AfD34.0%+4.0
- CDU25.0%+4.0
- BSW14.0%-6.0
- Linke13.0%-1.0
- SPD6.0%±0
- Others8.0%+5.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Aug 2024.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 34.0%, followed by CDU on 25.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 28 Oct 2024 to 4 Nov 2024, method Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Aug 2024, BSW loses 6.0 points, AfD gains 4.0 points, CDU gains 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 4.0 points higher and BSW 3.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Nov 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +4.0average 30.0
- BSW -3.4average 17.4
- CDU +2.4average 22.6
- Linke -0.5average 13.5
- SPD -0.3average 6.3
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD33
- CDU24
- BSW13
- Linke12
- SPD6
- AfD + CDU57 of 88
- AfD + BSW46 of 88
- AfD + Linke45 of 88
- CDU + BSW + Linke49 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.