Single poll

INSA poll of 21 September 2022 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
7 to 15 Sep 2022
Respondents
1,081
Method
Online
  • AfD26.0%+2.0
  • Linke23.0%-1.0
  • CDU20.0%±0
  • SPD11.0%-2.0
  • Grüne8.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Jul 2022.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by Linke on 23.0%. 1,081 people were surveyed from 7 to 15 Sep 2022, method Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Jul 2022, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.7average 6.3
  • CDU -1.3average 21.3
  • Linke +1.0average 22.0
  • AfD -0.5average 26.5
  • SPD ±0average 11.0
  • FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 25 seatsLinke: 22 seatsCDU: 19 seatsSPD: 10 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • AfD25
  • Linke22
  • CDU19
  • SPD10
  • Grüne7
  • FDP5
  • AfD + Linke47 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + SPD54 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne51 of 88
  • Linke + CDU + SPD51 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + FDP49 of 88
  • Linke + CDU + Grüne48 of 88
  • Linke + CDU + FDP46 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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