Single poll

INSA poll of 13 July 2022 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
4 to 11 Jul 2022
Respondents
1,019
Method
Online
  • Linke24.0%±0
  • AfD24.0%+2.0
  • CDU20.0%±0
  • SPD13.0%-3.0
  • Grüne8.0%+1.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Apr 2022.

In this poll INSA has Linke ahead on 24.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,019 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Jul 2022, method Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Apr 2022, SPD loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.5 points higher and Grüne 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +2.5average 17.5
  • Grüne +2.0average 6.0
  • SPD -1.5average 14.5
  • AfD -1.0average 25.0
  • FDP -1.0average 6.0
  • Linke +0.5average 23.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

Linke: 22 seatsAfD: 22 seatsCDU: 19 seatsSPD: 12 seatsGrüne: 8 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • Linke22
  • AfD22
  • CDU19
  • SPD12
  • Grüne8
  • FDP5
  • Linke + AfD + CDU63 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + SPD56 of 88
  • Linke + CDU + SPD53 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + SPD53 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + Grüne52 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + FDP49 of 88
  • Linke + CDU + Grüne49 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne49 of 88
  • Linke + CDU + FDP46 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + FDP46 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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