Single poll

INSA poll of 10 November 2022 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
1 to 8 Nov 2022
Respondents
1,108
Method
Online
  • AfD25.0%-1.0
  • Linke23.0%±0
  • CDU21.0%+1.0
  • SPD11.0%±0
  • Grüne7.0%-1.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • BfTh3.0%
  • Others5.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Sep 2022.

In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 25.0%, followed by Linke on 23.0%. 1,108 people were surveyed from 1 to 8 Nov 2022, method Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Sep 2022, AfD loses 1.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.5average 26.5
  • CDU +1.2average 19.8
  • SPD -0.5average 11.5
  • Grüne +0.5average 6.5
  • FDP -0.5average 5.5
  • Linke ±0average 23.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

AfD: 24 seatsLinke: 22 seatsCDU: 20 seatsSPD: 10 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • AfD24
  • Linke22
  • CDU20
  • SPD10
  • Grüne7
  • FDP5
  • AfD + Linke46 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + SPD54 of 88
  • Linke + CDU + SPD52 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne51 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + FDP49 of 88
  • Linke + CDU + Grüne49 of 88
  • Linke + CDU + FDP47 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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