Single poll

INSA poll of 3 December 2021 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
24 to 30 Nov 2021
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefon & Online
  • Linke24.0%+4.0
  • AfD23.0%-1.0
  • SPD18.0%-3.0
  • CDU15.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Grüne7.0%±0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Oct 2021.

In this poll INSA has Linke ahead on 24.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 24 to 30 Nov 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Oct 2021, Linke gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 7.0 points higher and CDU 6.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +7.0average 11.0
  • CDU -6.0average 21.0
  • Linke -3.0average 27.0
  • AfD +1.0average 22.0
  • FDP +1.0average 6.0
  • Grüne +1.0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

Linke: 22 seatsAfD: 21 seatsSPD: 17 seatsCDU: 14 seatsFDP: 7 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • Linke22
  • AfD21
  • SPD17
  • CDU14
  • FDP7
  • Grüne7
  • Linke + AfD + SPD60 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + CDU57 of 88
  • Linke + SPD + CDU53 of 88
  • AfD + SPD + CDU52 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + FDP50 of 88
  • Linke + AfD + Grüne50 of 88
  • Linke + SPD + FDP46 of 88
  • Linke + SPD + Grüne46 of 88
  • AfD + SPD + FDP45 of 88
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne45 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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