INSA poll of 4 October 2021 for the Thuringia state election
- Commissioned by
- FUNKE Medien Thüringen
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Sep 2021 to 4 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,074
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD24.0%+2.0
- SPD21.0%+12.0
- Linke20.0%-7.0
- CDU15.0%-6.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Grüne7.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Jul 2021.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 24.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,074 people were surveyed from 29 Sep 2021 to 4 Oct 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Jul 2021, SPD gains 12.0 points, Linke loses 7.0 points, CDU loses 6.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 10.0 points higher and Linke 7.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +10.0average 11.0
- Linke -7.0average 27.0
- CDU -6.0average 21.0
- AfD +2.0average 22.0
- FDP +2.0average 6.0
- Grüne +1.0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.
- AfD22
- SPD19
- Linke19
- CDU14
- FDP7
- Grüne7
- AfD + SPD + Linke60 of 88
- AfD + SPD + CDU55 of 88
- AfD + Linke + CDU55 of 88
- SPD + Linke + CDU52 of 88
- AfD + SPD + FDP48 of 88
- AfD + SPD + Grüne48 of 88
- AfD + Linke + FDP48 of 88
- AfD + Linke + Grüne48 of 88
- SPD + Linke + FDP45 of 88
- SPD + Linke + Grüne45 of 88
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.