Single poll

INSA poll of 16 July 2021 for the Thuringia state election

Commissioned by
FUNKE Medien Thüringen
Fieldwork period
9 to 15 Jul 2021
Respondents
1,006
Method
Telefon & Online
  • Linke27.0%+1.0
  • AfD22.0%-1.0
  • CDU21.0%-1.0
  • SPD9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Grüne7.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Jun 2021.

In this poll INSA has Linke ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,006 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Jul 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by FUNKE Medien Thüringen.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Jun 2021, Linke gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 2.0 points lower and FDP 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -2.0average 29.0
  • FDP +2.0average 6.0
  • Grüne +2.0average 5.0
  • AfD -1.0average 23.0
  • CDU -1.0average 22.0
  • SPD -1.0average 10.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

88 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

Linke: 25 seatsAfD: 21 seatsCDU: 20 seatsSPD: 8 seatsFDP: 7 seatsGrüne: 7 seatsMajority from 4588of 88 seats
  • Linke25
  • AfD21
  • CDU20
  • SPD8
  • FDP7
  • Grüne7
  • Linke + AfD46 of 88
  • Linke + CDU45 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + SPD49 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + FDP48 of 88
  • AfD + CDU + Grüne48 of 88
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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